Been quite pleased with the outcome of my last bet all week. Red Devils to beat Newcastle with at least two goals turn out to be just the safe bet I hoped it would. 1.70 was a very good price.
I’ve tried to find good bets during the week but came up short. Was about to back Young Boys against Spurs but chickened out in the last minute. Apart from that there was nothing inspiring in the cup qualifiers so I decided to hold it till the weekend.
Tomorrow we got the usual amount of Premiership action and the quick glance really favors backing the heavy favorites. A combo of Gunners, Chelsea and Man Utd looks rock solid and pays 2.31. But who knows, Blackpool might be able to draw on pure inspiration after their 4-0 against Wigan. And Arsenal really didn’t look that impressive at Anfield.
So I will go a different route altogether. I’ve taken a closer look at Birmingham-Blackburn. The home side have been terribly hard to beat at their home ground the last year. Rovers on the other hand looked pretty impressive in their opening match. A scoring draw at 4.50 looks tempting, but think there’s a fair chance we’ll end up with a scoreless match.
The plain draw pays 3.25 and that will be my bet, but I’ll settle for £50.
Will the start of the new seasons be the fresh start your favourite punter hopes?
Finally we have new seasons of European football on the way. England started this weekend and the others are soon to follow.
I’ve been keeping the betting up even though I haven’t written here in a long time. The World Cup this summer had its up and downs to say the least. Didn’t think Spain would hold up and go all the way. A belief I backed up with costly bets. Backed Germany and Holland correctly a couple of times which helped a bit, but in total the World Cup was a loosing venture. Quite a few impulsive live bets helped to sink the ship as well.
Anyway, back on the horse. In an effort to bet with a little more caution I’ve decided to write about every bet I make here, hoping public embarrassment will keep me away from the most stupid bets.
Well, we’ll just have to see how that goes…
So what’s on today’s menu? Well, since I want to stick to the majors there’s just the Man Utd – Newcastle match to consider.
I can’t see United not winning this. There’s absolutely nothing that speaks in Newcastle’s favor here. United have warmed up with a good performance in the Community Shield and at Old Trafford Newcastle is at the mercy of a miracle.
So a handicap bet should be the way to go today. Will the winning margin be two, three or even more?
Betsson offers 1.70 for a -1.5 Asian, and being a bit shell chocked from bad bets this summer I will not push my luck today even though my gut says at least 3-0.
1.70 is a good price and the Red Devils should win with at least two goals without breaking a sweat. I’ll put down £100 and hope for a nice fresh start of the season.
Checkout all available bets in Betsson’s sports book.
A full Premiership programme over the weekend offers an opportunity to use one of Betsson’s specialist markets.
Handicaps markets offer a way of trying to make a game closer or more interesting and can therefore create opportunities to support a team at better prices than in the match odds or conversely at a slightly lesser price but with a little additional help.
Using the Stoke City vs. Tottenham game as an example, you can support Stoke at 1.7 with a goal start so effectively when they kick, off they are leading 1-0 and that “goal” will be added to the final score line to produce the handicap result. Should they draw 1-1, then the “mythical” goal they receive will provide them a 2-1 win for the purposes of the handicap market and you would collect on your bet if you supported Stoke on the handicap market.
These markets are also useful when the home team is a very strong favourite and too short for many punters – a case in point on Saturday would be Arsenal in their home game against West Ham. Providing West Ham with a goal start means the Gunners are a more attractive bet.
One start could be crucial for Potters
Stoke do look to provide an excellent betting opportunity with a one goal start against Tottenham on Saturday.
Harry Redknapp’s men head for the so called ‘Fortress Britannia’ this weekend. The label is however slightly misleading, as for all their blood and thunder, Stoke’s only win against a side in the top half of the table came against Fulham.
However, this is where the handicap bet comes into its own. The Potters may not beat the top teams but they rarely lose to the sides outside of the top three. Already the clubs chasing fourth spot – Manchester City, Aston Villa and Liverpool – have left The Britannia with just a point each.
Therefore whilst many people will want to support the home side at a bigger price on Saturday against the sort of side they are perceived to do well against, surely the better option is to take Stoke with a goal start at a lesser price. If they produce their normal result against this level of opposition that goal start will be invaluable in producing a winning bet.
Stoke can be supported with that goal start at 1.7 in the handicap market on Betsson.
Generous Gunners to give away a goal
The handicap can also be used to create a price that looks more attractive than the match odds in a game which should be a home banker.
The visit of West Ham to the Emirates provides the opportunity to use the handicap market to produce a far better price for Arsenal than is available in the match odds market.
There is a new ruthless streak in Arsenal, just ask Porto, and they should see off their London rivals.
The Hammers don’t have a bad record against the Gunners at the Emirates but they are struggling at the moment and that counts more than past trends.
The handicap means Arsenal have to give a goal start on Saturday evening but that doesn’t look enough for the Hammers. Not only have the Gunners won all eight of their home games so far against teams from the bottom half of the table, they have done so by at least two goals.
Both Chelsea and Manchester United have already covered a two goal margin at home to West Ham and Arsenal should become the third member of the top three to repeat the dose.
Prohibitively priced at 1.24 in the match odds market – a much more attractive 1.6 is available with Arsenal giving up a goal, a margin they should cover comfortably given their record this year against similar sides.
Handicap markets offer another dimension to your betting – check them out on Betsson.
Tonight we got Sunderland vs Stoke. Stoke are unbeaten in their last three matches including last weekend’s 3-1 FA Cup win over Arsenal and The Black Cats have not won for nine league games.
Away win then? Well, Darren Bent is on fire (four goals in the last six) and the home side usually comes out on top when these two meet. Also, Stoke have great difficulties scoring away.
I smell a draw. At a price of 3.40 it looks like the best bet. £100.
A lot of Premiership action this weekend. At Craven Cottage, Aston Villa will try to grab all the three points to keep up in the race for the fourth place.
With half the starting lineup still injured Arsenal managed to beat Liverpool away this weekend.
Are they really back in the title race again? Or will there be a negative reaction tonight at Burnley? Not exactly a sexy game, Gunners needs to show that they can grind down opponents like these.
At TopLeague they believe Arsenal to beat the strong-at-home Burnley with at least two goals. I however have some doubts.
So today’s bet will be a win for Arsenal. But with several goals? Nah, don’t think so.
Once again, disclaimer. I am a gooner and it influences me off course. Today I am afraid to believe what I saw Sunday really was a turning point. But I still think they’ll win.
Confusing? Guess so. I’ll put down £100 for an away win @ 1.50.
